Eastern Michigan Eagles vs Kent State Golden Flashes
Thursday, February 12, 2026
Final Score E Michigan 91 - Kent State 95
Spread: L
Total: W
Matchup Analysis
This NCAAB matchup features Eastern Michigan Eagles (9-16 (6-4)) traveling to take on Kent State Golden Flashes (18-7 (12-2)) at M.A.C. Center, Kent, OH. The Kent State hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the E Michigan by 12.6 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup.
On offense, Kent State averages 79.4 points per game, which exceeds what the E Michigan defense typically allows (74.6 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The E Michigan offense puts up 72.2 PPG and faces a Kent State defense allowing 69.2 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one.
Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Kent State will look to leverage their home crowd. The Kent State are heavy favorites in this one, with our model projecting a 12.4-point advantage. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Kent State winning by 25 to losing by 0.
Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.
Team Comparison
EMU E Michigan
Stat
KENT Kent State
9-16 (6-4)
Record
18-7 (12-2)
Last 10
72.2
PPG
79.4
74.6
Opp PPG
69.2
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| EMU Eastern Michigan Eagles | +425 ↓ | +10.5 | O 145.5 |
| KENT Kent State Golden Flashes | -575 ↑ | -10.5 | U 145.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 19, 8:08 PM
Opening line: -10.5 / O/U 144.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| EMU Eastern Michigan Eagles | +521 | +12.4 | O 151.6 |
| KENT Kent State Golden Flashes | -521 | -12.4 | U 151.6 |
Source: Model Updated: Feb 19, 7:31 PM
Our Picks
Spread
L
Kent State (opened at -10.5)
55% Confidence
Total
W
Over (opened at 144.5)
62% Confidence
Recent Trends
Kent State has been one of the more consistent teams this season with a 18-7 (12-2) record. Their 18-win campaign speaks to the quality of play they've maintained throughout the year. They've been solid on both ends of the floor and will look to continue that form in front of their home fans.
It's been a difficult season for E Michigan at 9-16 (6-4). Traveling to face Kent State presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
Kent State
Advantages
- Strong 18-7 (12-2) overall record this season
- Home court advantage and crowd support
- Strong offense averaging 79.4 PPG
Disadvantages
- Potential for inconsistency in key moments
E Michigan
Advantages
- Nothing to lose as the visiting team
- Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Struggling with a 9-16 (6-4) record this season