SharpBetz
NCAAB

Jacksonville Dolphins vs Stetson Hatters

Thursday, February 12, 2026

Final Score Jacksonville 62 - Stetson 67
Spread: W Total:

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features Jacksonville Dolphins (9-17 (6-3)) traveling to take on Stetson Hatters (9-17 (7-4)) at Edmunds Center, DeLand, FL. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. Stetson averages 71.9 points per game, but they face a Jacksonville defense that holds opponents to 74.8 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, Jacksonville scores 71.9 PPG but faces a Stetson defense that limits opponents to 74.8 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Stetson will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Stetson to win by approximately 3.4 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Stetson winning by 16 to losing by 9. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Team Comparison

JAX Jacksonville
Stat
STET Stetson
9-17 (6-3)
Record
9-17 (7-4)
Last 10
71.9
PPG
71.9
74.8
Opp PPG
74.8

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
JAX Jacksonville Dolphins
-162 -2.5 O 138.5
STET Stetson Hatters
+136 +2.5 U 138.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 19, 8:08 PM
Opening line: +1.5 / O/U 142.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
JAX Jacksonville Dolphins
+155 +3.4 O 143.8
STET Stetson Hatters
-155 -3.4 U 143.8
Source: Model Updated: Feb 19, 7:31 PM

Our Picks

Spread W
Stetson (opened at +1.5)
55% Confidence
Total
Pass
Model: 143.8 | Edge below threshold

Recent Trends

Stetson has struggled this season at 9-17 (7-4). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Jacksonville at 9-17 (6-3). Traveling to face Stetson presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

Stetson

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Sub-.500 record at 9-17 (7-4) raises concerns
  • Potential for inconsistency in key moments

Jacksonville

Advantages

  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Struggling with a 9-17 (6-3) record this season