Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs Lafayette Leopards

This NCAAB matchup features Loyola Maryland Greyhounds (10-16 (7-4)) traveling to take on Lafayette Leopards (8-18 (5-7)) at Kirby Sports Center, Easton, PA. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. Lafayette averages 71.2 points per game, but they face a Loyola MD defense that holds opponents to 74.2 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, Loyola MD scores 72.7 PPG but faces a Lafayette defense that limits opponents to 75.4 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Lafayette will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 1.6-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Lafayette winning by 14 to losing by 11. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Lafayette has struggled this season at 8-18 (5-7). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Loyola MD at 10-16 (7-4). Traveling to face Lafayette presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.