SharpBetz
NCAAB

Stanford Cardinal vs Boston College Eagles

Thursday, February 12, 2026

Final Score Stanford 70 - Boston College 64
Spread: W Total: L

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features Stanford Cardinal (16-9 (10-6)) traveling to take on Boston College Eagles (9-15 (8-6)) at Conte Forum, Chestnut Hill, MA. The Stanford hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Boston College by 9.3 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, Boston College averages 72.5 points per game, which exceeds what the Stanford defense typically allows (70.4 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The Stanford offense puts up 77.8 PPG and faces a Boston College defense allowing 74.4 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Boston College will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 2.8-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Boston College winning by 10 to losing by 15. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Team Comparison

STAN Stanford
Stat
BC Boston College
16-9 (10-6)
Record
9-15 (8-6)
Last 10
77.8
PPG
72.5
70.4
Opp PPG
74.4

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
STAN Stanford Cardinal
-162 -3.5 O 139.5
BC Boston College Eagles
+136 +3.5 U 139.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 19, 8:08 PM
Opening line: +1.5 / O/U 135.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
STAN Stanford Cardinal
-143 -2.8 O 150.3
BC Boston College Eagles
+143 +2.8 U 150.3
Source: Model Updated: Feb 19, 7:32 PM

Our Picks

Spread W
Stanford (opened at +1.5)
55% Confidence
Total L
Over (opened at 135.5)
60% Confidence

Recent Trends

Boston College has struggled this season at 9-15 (8-6). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. Stanford sits at 16-9 (10-6) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

Boston College

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Sub-.500 record at 9-15 (8-6) raises concerns
  • Potential for inconsistency in key moments

Stanford

Advantages

  • Strong 16-9 (10-6) overall record this season
  • Potent offense averaging 77.8 PPG
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Road fatigue and travel can impact energy levels