Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs Radford Highlanders

This NCAAB matchup features Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs (3-25 (3-9)) traveling to take on Radford Highlanders (14-13 (10-5)) at The Dedmon Center, Radford, VA. The Radford hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Gardner-Webb by 14.5 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. Radford averages 75.4 points per game, but they face a Gardner-Webb defense that holds opponents to 78.4 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, Gardner-Webb scores 67.1 PPG but faces a Radford defense that limits opponents to 72.2 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Radford will look to leverage their home crowd. The Radford are heavy favorites in this one, with our model projecting a 13.4-point advantage. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Radford winning by 26 to winning by 1. The market has this game at -19.5, but our model sees value on Gardner-Webb with a 6.1-point edge. Our line: Radford -13.4. Combined with the total projection of 142 versus the market line of 161.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Radford enters at 14-13 (10-5), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. It's been a difficult season for Gardner-Webb at 3-25 (3-9). Traveling to face Radford presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.