Long Island University Sharks vs Saint Francis Red Flash

This NCAAB matchup features Long Island University Sharks (18-9 (9-1)) traveling to take on Saint Francis Red Flash (6-20 (5-6)) at DeGol Arena, Loretto, PA. The Long Island hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Saint Francis by 15.2 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. Saint Francis averages 69.6 points per game, but they face a Long Island defense that holds opponents to 70.0 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Long Island offense puts up 78.3 PPG and faces a Saint Francis defense allowing 76.5 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Saint Francis will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Long Island to win by approximately 7.0 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Saint Francis winning by 6 to losing by 20. The market has this game at +9.5, but our model sees value on Saint Francis with a 2.5-point edge. Our line: Saint Francis +7.0. Combined with the total projection of 148 versus the market line of 147.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Saint Francis has struggled this season at 6-20 (5-6). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. Long Island sits at 18-9 (9-1) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.