SharpBetz
NCAAB

Longwood Lancers vs Presbyterian Blue Hose

Friday, February 20, 2026

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features Longwood Lancers (14-14 (10-4)) traveling to take on Presbyterian Blue Hose (13-14 (9-3)) at Templeton Center, Clinton, SC. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. On offense, Presbyterian averages 74.6 points per game, which exceeds what the Longwood defense typically allows (72.5 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The Longwood offense puts up 75.0 PPG and faces a Presbyterian defense allowing 72.8 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Presbyterian will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Presbyterian to win by approximately 3.1 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Presbyterian winning by 16 to losing by 9. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Team Comparison

LONG Longwood
Stat
PRES Presbyterian
14-14 (10-4)
Record
13-14 (9-3)
Last 10
75.0
PPG
74.6
72.5
Opp PPG
72.8

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
LONG Longwood Lancers
+197 +2.5 O 138.5
PRES Presbyterian Blue Hose
-197 -2.5 U 138.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 19, 11:18 AM
Opening line: -2.5 / O/U 138.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
LONG Longwood Lancers
+149 +3.1 O 149.6
PRES Presbyterian Blue Hose
-149 -3.1 U 149.6
Source: Model Updated: Feb 19, 11:18 AM

Our Picks

Spread
Pass
Model: -3.1 | Edge below threshold
Total
Over (opened at 138.5)
72% Confidence

Recent Trends

Presbyterian has struggled this season at 13-14 (9-3). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. Longwood sits at 14-14 (10-4) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

Presbyterian

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Sub-.500 record at 13-14 (9-3) raises concerns
  • Potential for inconsistency in key moments

Longwood

Advantages

  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Road fatigue and travel can impact energy levels