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NCAAB

West Georgia Wolves vs Queens University Royals

Saturday, March 7, 2026

Final Score West Georgia 63 - Queens 71
Spread: Total:

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features West Georgia Wolves (15-17 (10-5)) traveling to take on Queens University Royals (19-13 (12-2)) at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena, Jacksonville, FL. The Queens hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the West Georgia by 4.7 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, Queens averages 84.7 points per game, which exceeds what the West Georgia defense typically allows (79.6 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. Meanwhile, West Georgia scores 77.0 PPG but faces a Queens defense that limits opponents to 82.6 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Queens will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Queens to win by approximately 3.6 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Queens winning by 16 to losing by 9. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Team Comparison

WGA West Georgia
Stat
QUC Queens
15-17 (10-5)
Record
19-13 (12-2)
Last 10
77.0
PPG
84.7
79.6
Opp PPG
82.6

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
WGA West Georgia Wolves
+310 +8.5 O 164.5
QUC Queens University Royals
-395 -8.5 U 164.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Mar 9, 5:11 PM
Opening line: -5.5 / O/U 164.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
WGA West Georgia Wolves
+181 +3.6 O 161.7
QUC Queens University Royals
-181 -3.6 U 161.7
Source: Model Updated: Mar 7, 4:23 AM

Our Picks

Spread
Pass
Model: -3.6 | Edge below threshold
Total
Pass
Model: 161.7 | Edge below threshold

Recent Trends

Queens enters at 19-13 (12-2), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. It's been a difficult season for West Georgia at 15-17 (10-5). Traveling to face Queens presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

Queens

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Strong offense averaging 84.7 PPG
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Defense allows 82.6 PPG — a vulnerability
  • Potential for inconsistency in key moments

West Georgia

Advantages

  • Potent offense averaging 77.0 PPG
  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Struggling with a 15-17 (10-5) record this season

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