South Carolina Gamecocks vs Ole Miss Rebels
Saturday, March 7, 2026
Final Score South Carolina 64 - Ole Miss 61
Spread: P
Total:
Matchup Analysis
This NCAAB matchup features South Carolina Gamecocks (13-18 (11-8)) traveling to take on Ole Miss Rebels (12-19 (7-9)) at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss, Oxford, MS. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way.
Ole Miss averages 75.8 points per game, but they face a South Carolina defense that holds opponents to 76.2 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, South Carolina scores 75.3 PPG but faces a Ole Miss defense that limits opponents to 75.9 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker.
Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Ole Miss will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 2.3-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Ole Miss winning by 15 to losing by 10.
The market has this game at -6.5, but our model sees value on South Carolina with a 4.2-point edge. Our line: Ole Miss -2.3. Combined with the total projection of 151 versus the market line of 147.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.
Team Comparison
SC South Carolina
Stat
MISS Ole Miss
13-18 (11-8)
Record
12-19 (7-9)
Last 10
75.3
PPG
75.8
76.2
Opp PPG
75.9
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC South Carolina Gamecocks | +250 ↑ | +7.5 ↑ | O 147.5 |
| MISS Ole Miss Rebels | -310 ↓ | -7.5 ↓ | U 147.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Mar 9, 5:15 PM
Opening line: -6.5 / O/U 146.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC South Carolina Gamecocks | +161 | +2.3 | O 151.1 |
| MISS Ole Miss Rebels | -161 | -2.3 | U 151.1 |
Source: Model Updated: Mar 8, 4:48 AM
Our Picks
Spread
P
South Carolina (opened at -6.5)
54% Confidence
Play to +3.1
Total
Pass
Model: 151.1 | Edge below threshold
Recent Trends
Ole Miss has struggled this season at 12-19 (7-9). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset.
It's been a difficult season for South Carolina at 13-18 (11-8). Traveling to face Ole Miss presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
Ole Miss
Advantages
- Home court advantage and crowd support
- Strong offense averaging 75.8 PPG
- Familiarity with home venue and routines
Disadvantages
- Sub-.500 record at 12-19 (7-9) raises concerns
- Defense allows 75.9 PPG — a vulnerability
South Carolina
Advantages
- Potent offense averaging 75.3 PPG
- Nothing to lose as the visiting team
- Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Struggling with a 13-18 (11-8) record this season