SharpBetz
NHL

Nashville Predators vs Chicago Blackhawks

Sunday, March 22, 2026

Final Score Predators 3 - Blackhawks 2
Spread: Total:

Matchup Analysis

This NHL matchup features Nashville Predators (32-28-9 (19-13-3)) traveling to take on Chicago Blackhawks (26-31-12 (13-16-6)) at United Center, Chicago, IL. The statistical profiles of these two teams are remarkably similar this season. Neither side holds a decisive scoring margin advantage, which points to a game that will likely be decided in the closing minutes. Blackhawks averages 2.6 goals per game, but they face Predators goaltending that holds opponents to 3.3 GA/G. The visitors' netminding could limit the home team's Goal-scoring output. Conversely, Predators at 2.9 GPG faces a stiff test against Blackhawks's goaltending (3.1 GA/G allowed). The visitors will need to be efficient with their scoring chances to stay competitive. The 3.0-goal Home ice advantage in NHL is baked into our model, and Blackhawks will aim to make that factor count with crowd energy. With just a 0.1-goal projected margin, this game is about as close as it gets. Small swings in momentum will determine the winner. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Blackhawks winning by 2 to losing by 2. We lean Blackhawks on the moneyline at -110 with a 64% win probability. In a low-scoring sport like hockey, moneyline value is more reliable than chasing puck line payouts. Look for the moneyline as the primary play here.

Team Comparison

NSH Predators
Stat
CHI Blackhawks
32-28-9 (19-13-3)
Record
26-31-12 (13-16-6)
Last 10
2.9
PPG
2.6
3.3
Opp PPG
3.1

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
NSH Nashville Predators
-115 -1.5 O 5.5
CHI Chicago Blackhawks
-105 +1.5 U 5.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Mar 26, 8:01 PM
Opening line: -1.5 / O/U 6.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
NSH Nashville Predators
+179 +0.1 O 5.5
CHI Chicago Blackhawks
-179 -0.1 U 5.5
Source: Model Updated: Mar 22, 11:26 AM

Our Picks

Spread
Pass
Model: -0.1 | Edge below threshold
Total
Pass
Model: 5.5 | Edge below threshold

Recent Trends

Blackhawks has struggled this season at 26-31-12 (13-16-6). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. At 32-28-9 (19-13-3), Predators has been a middle-of-the-pack team with both impressive wins and puzzling losses. Road games amplify those inconsistencies, making this a prove-it spot for the visitors. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

Blackhawks

Advantages

  • Playing at home with home ice energy and familiarity
  • Dominant power play converting at 1859.3%
  • Strong penalty kill at 8413.5%

Disadvantages

  • Losing record (26-31-12 (13-16-6)) signals fundamental issues
  • Potential for inconsistency in key moments

Predators

Advantages

  • Dangerous power play at 2326.7%
  • Reliable penalty kill at 8058.3%
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Road environment creates additional challenges
  • Goaltending allows 3.3 GPG — exploitable

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