LA Clippers vs Houston Rockets
Thursday, February 12, 2026
Final Score Clippers 105 - Rockets 102
Spread:
Total: L
Matchup Analysis
This NBA matchup features LA Clippers (26-28 (13-11)) traveling to take on Houston Rockets (33-20 (18-7)) at Toyota Center (Houston), Houston, TX. The Rockets hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Clippers by 5.0 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup.
On offense, Rockets averages 77.5 points per game, which exceeds what the Clippers defense typically allows (72.8 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The Clippers offense puts up 74.6 PPG and faces a Rockets defense allowing 70.7 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one.
Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.0 points in NBA, and Rockets will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Rockets to win by approximately 8.9 points.
Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.
Team Comparison
LAC Clippers
Stat
HOU Rockets
26-28 (13-11)
Record
33-20 (18-7)
Last 10
74.6
PPG
77.5
72.8
Opp PPG
70.7
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAC LA Clippers | +260 ↓ | +8.5 | O 212.5 |
| HOU Houston Rockets | -325 ↑ | -8.5 | U 212.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 19, 8:09 PM
Opening line: -8.5 / O/U 210.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAC LA Clippers | +1122 | +8.9 | O 147.8 |
| HOU Houston Rockets | -1122 | -8.9 | U 147.8 |
Source: Model Updated: Feb 19, 7:32 PM
Our Picks
Spread
Pass
Model: -8.9 | Edge below threshold
Total
L
Over (opened at 210.5)
60% Confidence
Recent Trends
Rockets enters at 33-20 (18-7), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum.
It's been a difficult season for Clippers at 26-28 (13-11). Traveling to face Rockets presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
Rockets
Advantages
- Strong 33-20 (18-7) overall record this season
- Home court advantage and crowd support
- Strong offense averaging 77.5 PPG
Disadvantages
- Potential for inconsistency in key moments
Clippers
Advantages
- Nothing to lose as the visiting team
- Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Struggling with a 26-28 (13-11) record this season