Bryant Bulldogs vs UMass Lowell River Hawks
Thursday, February 12, 2026
Final Score Bryant 69 - UMass Lowell 88
Spread: W
Total:
Matchup Analysis
This NCAAB matchup features Bryant Bulldogs (8-17 (7-4)) traveling to take on UMass Lowell River Hawks (11-15 (7-3)) at Kennedy Family Athletic Complex, Lowell, MA. The UMass Lowell hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Bryant by 3.6 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup.
UMass Lowell averages 73.5 points per game, but they face a Bryant defense that holds opponents to 75.2 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, Bryant scores 71.4 PPG but faces a UMass Lowell defense that limits opponents to 73.7 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker.
Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and UMass Lowell will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects UMass Lowell to win by approximately 6.0 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from UMass Lowell winning by 18 to losing by 6.
Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.
Team Comparison
BRY Bryant
Stat
UML UMass Lowell
8-17 (7-4)
Record
11-15 (7-3)
Last 10
71.4
PPG
73.5
75.2
Opp PPG
73.7
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRY Bryant Bulldogs | +180 ↓ | +4.5 ↓ | O 141.5 |
| UML UMass Lowell River Hawks | -218 ↑ | -4.5 ↑ | U 141.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 19, 8:08 PM
Opening line: -5.5 / O/U 142.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRY Bryant Bulldogs | +216 | +6 | O 144.9 |
| UML UMass Lowell River Hawks | -216 | -6 | U 144.9 |
Source: Model Updated: Feb 19, 7:25 PM
Our Picks
Spread
W
UMass Lowell (opened at -5.5)
55% Confidence
Total
Pass
Model: 144.9 | Edge below threshold
Recent Trends
UMass Lowell has struggled this season at 11-15 (7-3). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset.
It's been a difficult season for Bryant at 8-17 (7-4). Traveling to face UMass Lowell presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
UMass Lowell
Advantages
- Home court advantage and crowd support
- Familiarity with home venue and routines
Disadvantages
- Sub-.500 record at 11-15 (7-3) raises concerns
- Potential for inconsistency in key moments
Bryant
Advantages
- Nothing to lose as the visiting team
- Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Struggling with a 8-17 (7-4) record this season