Mercyhurst Lakers vs Le Moyne Dolphins

This NCAAB matchup features Mercyhurst Lakers (12-14 (9-2)) traveling to take on Le Moyne Dolphins (13-13 (7-3)) at Ted Grant Court, Syracuse, NY. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. On offense, Le Moyne averages 75.0 points per game, which exceeds what the Mercyhurst defense typically allows (73.1 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The Mercyhurst offense puts up 74.2 PPG and faces a Le Moyne defense allowing 72.5 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Le Moyne will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Le Moyne to win by approximately 4.6 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Le Moyne winning by 17 to losing by 8. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Le Moyne enters at 13-13 (7-3), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. It's been a difficult season for Mercyhurst at 12-14 (9-2). Traveling to face Le Moyne presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.