Central Connecticut Blue Devils vs New Haven Chargers

This NCAAB matchup features Central Connecticut Blue Devils (14-10 (7-3)) traveling to take on New Haven Chargers (10-15 (6-5)) at Jeffery P. Hazell Athletics Center, West Haven, CT. The C Connecticut hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the New Haven by 6.5 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, New Haven averages 73.0 points per game, which exceeds what the C Connecticut defense typically allows (71.2 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The C Connecticut offense puts up 76.7 PPG and faces a New Haven defense allowing 74.0 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and New Haven will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 0.8-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from New Haven winning by 12 to losing by 13. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

New Haven has struggled this season at 10-15 (6-5). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. C Connecticut sits at 14-10 (7-3) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.