High Point Panthers vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans
Friday, February 13, 2026
Final Score High Point 95 - SC Upstate 70
Spread: W
Total: W
Matchup Analysis
This NCAAB matchup features High Point Panthers (23-4 (15-1)) traveling to take on South Carolina Upstate Spartans (11-15 (8-5)) at G.B. Hodge Center, Spartanburg, SC. The High Point hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the SC Upstate by 15.0 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup.
On offense, SC Upstate averages 73.5 points per game, which exceeds what the High Point defense typically allows (67.2 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The High Point offense puts up 82.0 PPG and faces a SC Upstate defense allowing 73.7 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one.
Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and SC Upstate will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects High Point to win by approximately 6.6 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from SC Upstate winning by 6 to losing by 19.
Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.
Team Comparison
HPU High Point
Stat
UPST SC Upstate
23-4 (15-1)
Record
11-15 (8-5)
Last 10
82.0
PPG
73.5
67.2
Opp PPG
73.7
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| HPU High Point Panthers | -1650 ↓ | -14.5 ↓ | O 154.5 |
| UPST South Carolina Upstate Spartans | +950 ↑ | +14.5 ↑ | U 154.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 19, 8:06 PM
Opening line: +12.5 / O/U 153.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| HPU High Point Panthers | -234 | -6.6 | O 155.5 |
| UPST South Carolina Upstate Spartans | +234 | +6.6 | U 155.5 |
Source: Model Updated: Feb 19, 7:26 PM
Our Picks
Spread
W
High Point (opened at +12.5)
55% Confidence
Total
W
Over (opened at 153.5)
65% Confidence
Recent Trends
SC Upstate has struggled this season at 11-15 (8-5). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset.
High Point comes in with an impressive 23-4 (15-1) record. They've been among the best teams in their conference and are playing with the confidence of a squad that expects to win. Road games can be tricky, but this team has the poise to handle hostile environments.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
SC Upstate
Advantages
- Home court advantage and crowd support
- Familiarity with home venue and routines
Disadvantages
- Sub-.500 record at 11-15 (8-5) raises concerns
- Potential for inconsistency in key moments
High Point
Advantages
- Strong 23-4 (15-1) overall record this season
- Potent offense averaging 82.0 PPG
- Stout defense allowing just 67.2 PPG
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Road fatigue and travel can impact energy levels