South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs Denver Pioneers

This NCAAB matchup features South Dakota State Jackrabbits (11-15 (8-3)) traveling to take on Denver Pioneers (13-14 (7-5)) at Hamilton Gymnasium, Denver, CO. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. On offense, Denver averages 74.6 points per game, which exceeds what the S Dakota St defense typically allows (73.7 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The S Dakota St offense puts up 73.5 PPG and faces a Denver defense allowing 72.8 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Denver will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Denver to win by approximately 5.0 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Denver winning by 18 to losing by 8. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Denver has struggled this season at 13-14 (7-5). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for S Dakota St at 11-15 (8-3). Traveling to face Denver presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.