Saint Francis Red Flash vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights

This NCAAB matchup features Saint Francis Red Flash (6-19 (5-5)) traveling to take on Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (10-16 (8-4)) at Bogota Savings Bank Center, Hackensack, NJ. The FDU hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Saint Francis by 5.1 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. FDU averages 72.7 points per game, but they face a Saint Francis defense that holds opponents to 76.4 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, Saint Francis scores 69.8 PPG but faces a FDU defense that limits opponents to 74.2 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and FDU will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects FDU to win by approximately 6.9 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from FDU winning by 20 to losing by 6. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

FDU has struggled this season at 10-16 (8-4). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Saint Francis at 6-19 (5-5). Traveling to face FDU presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.