Tennessee State Tigers vs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles

This NCAAB matchup features Tennessee State Tigers (17-8 (8-2)) traveling to take on Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles (5-20 (3-9)) at Liberty Arena (IN), Evansville, IN. The Tennessee St hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the So Indiana by 16.8 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. So Indiana averages 69.0 points per game, but they face a Tennessee St defense that holds opponents to 69.8 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Tennessee St offense puts up 78.6 PPG and faces a So Indiana defense allowing 77.0 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and So Indiana will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Tennessee St to win by approximately 8.1 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from So Indiana winning by 4 to losing by 21. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

So Indiana has struggled this season at 5-20 (3-9). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. Tennessee St sits at 17-8 (8-2) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.