UNC Asheville Bulldogs vs Longwood Lancers

This NCAAB matchup features UNC Asheville Bulldogs (12-13 (7-5)) traveling to take on Longwood Lancers (13-14 (9-4)) at Joan Perry Brock Center, Farmville, VA. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. On offense, Longwood averages 74.6 points per game, which exceeds what the UNC Asheville defense typically allows (72.8 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The UNC Asheville offense puts up 74.6 PPG and faces a Longwood defense allowing 72.8 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Longwood will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Longwood to win by approximately 3.6 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Longwood winning by 16 to losing by 9. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Longwood has struggled this season at 13-14 (9-4). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for UNC Asheville at 12-13 (7-5). Traveling to face Longwood presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.