William & Mary Tribe vs Northeastern Huskies
Friday, February 13, 2026
Final Score William & Mary 94 - Northeastern 67
Spread: W
Total: L
Matchup Analysis
This NCAAB matchup features William & Mary Tribe (16-9 (9-1)) traveling to take on Northeastern Huskies (6-18 (2-7)) at Cabot Center, Boston, MA. The William & Mary hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Northeastern by 13.6 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup.
Northeastern averages 70.0 points per game, but they face a William & Mary defense that holds opponents to 70.4 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The William & Mary offense puts up 77.8 PPG and faces a Northeastern defense allowing 76.2 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one.
Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Northeastern will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects William & Mary to win by approximately 5.9 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Northeastern winning by 7 to losing by 18.
Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.
Team Comparison
W&M William & Mary
Stat
NE Northeastern
16-9 (9-1)
Record
6-18 (2-7)
Last 10
77.8
PPG
70.0
70.4
Opp PPG
76.2
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| W&M William & Mary Tribe | -265 ↓ | -5.5 ↓ | O 167.5 |
| NE Northeastern Huskies | +215 ↑ | +5.5 ↑ | U 167.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 19, 8:07 PM
Opening line: +4.5 / O/U 167.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| W&M William & Mary Tribe | -213 | -5.9 | O 147.8 |
| NE Northeastern Huskies | +213 | +5.9 | U 147.8 |
Source: Model Updated: Feb 19, 7:26 PM
Our Picks
Spread
W
William & Mary (opened at +4.5)
55% Confidence
Total
L
Over (opened at 167.5)
57% Confidence
Recent Trends
Northeastern has struggled this season at 6-18 (2-7). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset.
William & Mary sits at 16-9 (9-1) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
Northeastern
Advantages
- Home court advantage and crowd support
- Familiarity with home venue and routines
Disadvantages
- Sub-.500 record at 6-18 (2-7) raises concerns
- Defense allows 76.2 PPG — a vulnerability
William & Mary
Advantages
- Strong 16-9 (9-1) overall record this season
- Potent offense averaging 77.8 PPG
- Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Road fatigue and travel can impact energy levels