SharpBetz
NCAAB

Hampton Pirates vs North Carolina A&T Aggies

Saturday, February 14, 2026

Final Score Hampton 70 - NC A&T 71
Spread: W Total: W

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features Hampton Pirates (12-14 (9-1)) traveling to take on North Carolina A&T Aggies (10-14 (6-4)) at The Forum (USA), Los Angeles, CA. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. On offense, NC A&T averages 73.3 points per game, which exceeds what the Hampton defense typically allows (73.1 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The Hampton offense puts up 74.2 PPG and faces a NC A&T defense allowing 73.8 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and NC A&T will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 2.4-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from NC A&T winning by 15 to losing by 10. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Team Comparison

HAMP Hampton
Stat
NCAT NC A&T
12-14 (9-1)
Record
10-14 (6-4)
Last 10
74.2
PPG
73.3
73.1
Opp PPG
73.8

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
HAMP Hampton Pirates
-175 -3.5 O 137.5
NCAT North Carolina A&T Aggies
+145 +3.5 U 137.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 19, 8:04 PM
Opening line: +3.5 / O/U 137.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
HAMP Hampton Pirates
+137 +2.4 O 147.5
NCAT North Carolina A&T Aggies
-137 -2.4 U 147.5
Source: Model Updated: Feb 19, 7:24 PM

Our Picks

Spread W
NC A&T (opened at +3.5)
55% Confidence
Total W
Over (opened at 137.5)
56% Confidence

Recent Trends

NC A&T has struggled this season at 10-14 (6-4). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Hampton at 12-14 (9-1). Traveling to face NC A&T presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

NC A&T

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Sub-.500 record at 10-14 (6-4) raises concerns
  • Potential for inconsistency in key moments

Hampton

Advantages

  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Struggling with a 12-14 (9-1) record this season