Holy Cross Crusaders vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
Sunday, February 15, 2026
Final Score Holy Cross 73 - Loyola MD 83
Spread: W
Total:
Matchup Analysis
This NCAAB matchup features Holy Cross Crusaders (9-18 (6-6)) traveling to take on Loyola Maryland Greyhounds (11-16 (8-4)) at Reitz Arena, Baltimore, MD. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way.
Loyola MD averages 73.1 points per game, but they face a Holy Cross defense that holds opponents to 75.0 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, Holy Cross scores 71.7 PPG but faces a Loyola MD defense that limits opponents to 73.9 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker.
Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Loyola MD will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Loyola MD to win by approximately 5.2 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Loyola MD winning by 18 to losing by 7.
Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.
Team Comparison
HC Holy Cross
Stat
L-MD Loyola MD
9-18 (6-6)
Record
11-16 (8-4)
Last 10
71.7
PPG
73.1
75.0
Opp PPG
73.9
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| HC Holy Cross Crusaders | +180 ↑ | +4.5 | O 146.5 |
| L-MD Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | -218 ↓ | -4.5 | U 146.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 19, 7:42 PM
Opening line: -4.5 / O/U 144.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| HC Holy Cross Crusaders | +196 | +5.2 | O 144.8 |
| L-MD Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | -196 | -5.2 | U 144.8 |
Source: Model Updated: Feb 19, 7:12 PM
Our Picks
Spread
W
Loyola MD (opened at -4.5)
55% Confidence
Total
Pass
Model: 144.8 | Edge below threshold
Recent Trends
Loyola MD has struggled this season at 11-16 (8-4). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset.
It's been a difficult season for Holy Cross at 9-18 (6-6). Traveling to face Loyola MD presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
Loyola MD
Advantages
- Home court advantage and crowd support
- Familiarity with home venue and routines
Disadvantages
- Sub-.500 record at 11-16 (8-4) raises concerns
- Potential for inconsistency in key moments
Holy Cross
Advantages
- Nothing to lose as the visiting team
- Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Struggling with a 9-18 (6-6) record this season