Maryland Terrapins vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Sunday, February 15, 2026
Final Score Maryland 57 - Rutgers 68
Spread: W
Total:
Matchup Analysis
This NCAAB matchup features Maryland Terrapins (10-15 (6-6)) traveling to take on Rutgers Scarlet Knights (10-15 (9-6)) at Jersey Mike’s Arena, Piscataway, NJ. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way.
Rutgers averages 73.0 points per game, but they face a Maryland defense that holds opponents to 74.0 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, Maryland scores 73.0 PPG but faces a Rutgers defense that limits opponents to 74.0 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker.
Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Rutgers will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Rutgers to win by approximately 3.5 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Rutgers winning by 16 to losing by 9.
Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.
Team Comparison
MD Maryland
Stat
RUTG Rutgers
10-15 (6-6)
Record
10-15 (9-6)
Last 10
73.0
PPG
73.0
74.0
Opp PPG
74.0
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| MD Maryland Terrapins | +120 ↑ | +2.5 ↓ | O 144.5 |
| RUTG Rutgers Scarlet Knights | -142 ↓ | -2.5 ↑ | U 144.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 19, 7:42 PM
Opening line: -3.5 / O/U 145.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| MD Maryland Terrapins | +157 | +3.5 | O 146 |
| RUTG Rutgers Scarlet Knights | -157 | -3.5 | U 146 |
Source: Model Updated: Feb 19, 7:12 PM
Our Picks
Spread
W
Rutgers (opened at -3.5)
55% Confidence
Total
Pass
Model: 146 | Edge below threshold
Recent Trends
Rutgers has struggled this season at 10-15 (9-6). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset.
It's been a difficult season for Maryland at 10-15 (6-6). Traveling to face Rutgers presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
Rutgers
Advantages
- Home court advantage and crowd support
- Familiarity with home venue and routines
Disadvantages
- Sub-.500 record at 10-15 (9-6) raises concerns
- Potential for inconsistency in key moments
Maryland
Advantages
- Nothing to lose as the visiting team
- Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Struggling with a 10-15 (6-6) record this season