SharpBetz
NCAAB

Coppin State Eagles vs South Carolina State Bulldogs

Monday, February 16, 2026

Final Score Coppin St 59 - SC State 57
Spread: L Total:

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features Coppin State Eagles (6-21 (2-5)) traveling to take on South Carolina State Bulldogs (6-18 (5-4)) at Smith-Hammond-Middleton Memorial Center, Orangeburg, SC. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. SC State averages 70.0 points per game, but they face a Coppin St defense that holds opponents to 76.7 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, Coppin St scores 69.4 PPG but faces a SC State defense that limits opponents to 76.2 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and SC State will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects SC State to win by approximately 4.0 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from SC State winning by 16 to losing by 8. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Team Comparison

COPP Coppin St
Stat
SCST SC State
6-21 (2-5)
Record
6-18 (5-4)
Last 10
69.4
PPG
70.0
76.7
Opp PPG
76.2

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
COPP Coppin State Eagles
+164 +4.5 O 138.5
SCST South Carolina State Bulldogs
-198 -4.5 U 138.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 19, 7:42 PM
Opening line: -4.5 / O/U 143.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
COPP Coppin State Eagles
+167 +4 O 139.4
SCST South Carolina State Bulldogs
-167 -4 U 139.4
Source: Model Updated: Feb 19, 7:07 PM

Our Picks

Spread L
SC State (opened at -4.5)
55% Confidence
Total
Pass
Model: 139.4 | Edge below threshold

Recent Trends

SC State has struggled this season at 6-18 (5-4). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Coppin St at 6-21 (2-5). Traveling to face SC State presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

SC State

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Sub-.500 record at 6-18 (5-4) raises concerns
  • Defense allows 76.2 PPG — a vulnerability

Coppin St

Advantages

  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Struggling with a 6-21 (2-5) record this season