Wagner Seahawks vs Long Island University Sharks

This NCAAB matchup features Wagner Seahawks (9-16 (6-5)) traveling to take on Long Island University Sharks (18-9 (9-1)) at Steinberg Wellness Center, Brooklyn, NY. The Long Island hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Wagner by 10.7 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, Long Island averages 78.3 points per game, which exceeds what the Wagner defense typically allows (74.6 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The Wagner offense puts up 72.2 PPG and faces a Long Island defense allowing 70.0 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Long Island will look to leverage their home crowd. The Long Island are heavy favorites in this one, with our model projecting a 11.1-point advantage. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Long Island winning by 24 to losing by 1. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Long Island enters at 18-9 (9-1), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. It's been a difficult season for Wagner at 9-16 (6-5). Traveling to face Long Island presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.