SharpBetz
NCAAB

Bucknell Bison vs Boston University Terriers

Saturday, February 14, 2026

Final Score Bucknell 69 - Boston U 82
Spread: W Total:

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features Bucknell Bison (8-19 (5-6)) traveling to take on Boston University Terriers (12-15 (7-5)) at Case Gym, Boston, MA. The Boston U hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Bucknell by 5.3 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. Boston U averages 73.9 points per game, but they face a Bucknell defense that holds opponents to 75.6 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, Bucknell scores 70.9 PPG but faces a Boston U defense that limits opponents to 73.3 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Boston U will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Boston U to win by approximately 7.1 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Boston U winning by 20 to losing by 5. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Team Comparison

BUCK Bucknell
Stat
BU Boston U
8-19 (5-6)
Record
12-15 (7-5)
Last 10
70.9
PPG
73.9
75.6
Opp PPG
73.3

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
BUCK Bucknell Bison
+225 +5.5 O 137.5
BU Boston University Terriers
-278 -5.5 U 137.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 19, 8:03 PM
Opening line: -6.5 / O/U 141.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
BUCK Bucknell Bison
+251 +7.1 O 144.8
BU Boston University Terriers
-251 -7.1 U 144.8
Source: Model Updated: Feb 19, 7:16 PM

Our Picks

Spread W
Boston U (opened at -6.5)
55% Confidence
Total
Pass
Model: 144.8 | Edge below threshold

Recent Trends

Boston U has struggled this season at 12-15 (7-5). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Bucknell at 8-19 (5-6). Traveling to face Boston U presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

Boston U

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Sub-.500 record at 12-15 (7-5) raises concerns
  • Potential for inconsistency in key moments

Bucknell

Advantages

  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Struggling with a 8-19 (5-6) record this season