SharpBetz
NCAAB

Fordham Rams vs Rhode Island Rams

Saturday, February 14, 2026

Final Score Fordham 70 - Rhode Island 66
Spread: L Total: W

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features Fordham Rams (14-12 (8-7)) traveling to take on Rhode Island Rams (14-11 (8-5)) at Thomas M. Ryan Center, Kingston, RI. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. On offense, Rhode Island averages 76.2 points per game, which exceeds what the Fordham defense typically allows (71.9 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The Fordham offense puts up 75.8 PPG and faces a Rhode Island defense allowing 71.6 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Rhode Island will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Rhode Island to win by approximately 4.2 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Rhode Island winning by 17 to losing by 8. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Team Comparison

FOR Fordham
Stat
URI Rhode Island
14-12 (8-7)
Record
14-11 (8-5)
Last 10
75.8
PPG
76.2
71.9
Opp PPG
71.6

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
FOR Fordham Rams
+185 +4.5 O 134.5
URI Rhode Island Rams
-225 -4.5 U 134.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 19, 8:03 PM
Opening line: -5.5 / O/U 131.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
FOR Fordham Rams
+171 +4.2 O 152
URI Rhode Island Rams
-171 -4.2 U 152
Source: Model Updated: Feb 19, 7:16 PM

Our Picks

Spread L
Rhode Island (opened at -5.5)
55% Confidence
Total W
Over (opened at 131.5)
63% Confidence

Recent Trends

Rhode Island enters at 14-11 (8-5), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. Fordham sits at 14-12 (8-7) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

Rhode Island

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Strong offense averaging 76.2 PPG
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Potential for inconsistency in key moments

Fordham

Advantages

  • Potent offense averaging 75.8 PPG
  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Road fatigue and travel can impact energy levels