Chicago State Cougars vs Le Moyne Dolphins

This NCAAB matchup features Chicago State Cougars (6-21 (4-5)) traveling to take on Le Moyne Dolphins (14-13 (8-3)) at Ted Grant Court, Syracuse, NY. The Le Moyne hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Chicago St by 10.5 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. Le Moyne averages 75.4 points per game, but they face a Chicago St defense that holds opponents to 76.7 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, Chicago St scores 69.4 PPG but faces a Le Moyne defense that limits opponents to 72.2 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Le Moyne will look to leverage their home crowd. The Le Moyne are heavy favorites in this one, with our model projecting a 10.7-point advantage. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Le Moyne winning by 23 to losing by 2. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Le Moyne enters at 14-13 (8-3), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. It's been a difficult season for Chicago St at 6-21 (4-5). Traveling to face Le Moyne presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.