SharpBetz
NCAAB

Florida A&M Rattlers vs Jackson State Tigers

Saturday, February 14, 2026

Final Score Florida A&M 60 - Jackson St 80
Spread: W Total:

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features Florida A&M Rattlers (9-14 (6-3)) traveling to take on Jackson State Tigers (8-17 (4-3)) at Lee E. Williams Athletics and Assembly Center, Jackson, MS. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. Jackson St averages 71.4 points per game, but they face a Florida A&M defense that holds opponents to 74.1 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, Florida A&M scores 72.8 PPG but faces a Jackson St defense that limits opponents to 75.2 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Jackson St will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 1.7-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Jackson St winning by 14 to losing by 11. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Team Comparison

FAMU Florida A&M
Stat
JKST Jackson St
9-14 (6-3)
Record
8-17 (4-3)
Last 10
72.8
PPG
71.4
74.1
Opp PPG
75.2

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
FAMU Florida A&M Rattlers
-142 -2.5 O 144.5
JKST Jackson State Tigers
+120 +2.5 U 144.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 19, 8:03 PM
Opening line: +1.5 / O/U 147.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
FAMU Florida A&M Rattlers
+125 +1.7 O 144.2
JKST Jackson State Tigers
-125 -1.7 U 144.2
Source: Model Updated: Feb 19, 7:18 PM

Our Picks

Spread W
Jackson St (opened at +1.5)
55% Confidence
Total
Pass
Model: 144.2 | Edge below threshold

Recent Trends

Jackson St has struggled this season at 8-17 (4-3). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Florida A&M at 9-14 (6-3). Traveling to face Jackson St presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

Jackson St

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Sub-.500 record at 8-17 (4-3) raises concerns
  • Defense allows 75.2 PPG — a vulnerability

Florida A&M

Advantages

  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Struggling with a 9-14 (6-3) record this season