Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Saturday, February 14, 2026
Final Score Georgia Tech 74 - Notre Dame 89
Spread: W
Total: W
Matchup Analysis
This NCAAB matchup features Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (11-15 (10-6)) traveling to take on Notre Dame Fighting Irish (12-14 (9-5)) at Purcell Pavilion, South Bend, IN. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way.
On offense, Notre Dame averages 74.2 points per game, which exceeds what the Georgia Tech defense typically allows (73.7 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The Georgia Tech offense puts up 73.5 PPG and faces a Notre Dame defense allowing 73.1 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one.
Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Notre Dame will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Notre Dame to win by approximately 4.5 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Notre Dame winning by 17 to losing by 8.
Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.
Team Comparison
GT Georgia Tech
Stat
ND Notre Dame
11-15 (10-6)
Record
12-14 (9-5)
Last 10
73.5
PPG
74.2
73.7
Opp PPG
73.1
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| GT Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | +215 ↓ | +5.5 ↓ | O 150.5 |
| ND Notre Dame Fighting Irish | -265 ↑ | -5.5 ↑ | U 150.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 19, 8:03 PM
Opening line: -8.5 / O/U 152.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| GT Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | +177 | +4.5 | O 147.7 |
| ND Notre Dame Fighting Irish | -177 | -4.5 | U 147.7 |
Source: Model Updated: Feb 19, 7:16 PM
Our Picks
Spread
W
Notre Dame (opened at -8.5)
55% Confidence
Total
W
Over (opened at 152.5)
57% Confidence
Recent Trends
Notre Dame has struggled this season at 12-14 (9-5). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset.
It's been a difficult season for Georgia Tech at 11-15 (10-6). Traveling to face Notre Dame presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
Notre Dame
Advantages
- Home court advantage and crowd support
- Familiarity with home venue and routines
Disadvantages
- Sub-.500 record at 12-14 (9-5) raises concerns
- Potential for inconsistency in key moments
Georgia Tech
Advantages
- Nothing to lose as the visiting team
- Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Struggling with a 11-15 (10-6) record this season