Furman Paladins vs VMI Keydets

This NCAAB matchup features Furman Paladins (17-10 (10-4)) traveling to take on VMI Keydets (6-21 (5-8)) at Cameron Hall, Lexington, VA. The Furman hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the VMI by 14.3 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. VMI averages 69.4 points per game, but they face a Furman defense that holds opponents to 70.6 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Furman offense puts up 77.6 PPG and faces a VMI defense allowing 76.7 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and VMI will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Furman to win by approximately 6.3 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from VMI winning by 6 to losing by 19. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

VMI has struggled this season at 6-21 (5-8). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. Furman sits at 17-10 (10-4) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.