SharpBetz
NCAAB

Presbyterian Blue Hose vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Saturday, February 14, 2026

Final Score Presbyterian 58 - UNC Asheville 57
Spread: L Total: L

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features Presbyterian Blue Hose (13-14 (9-3)) traveling to take on UNC Asheville Bulldogs (12-14 (7-6)) at Kimmel Arena, Asheville, NC. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. On offense, UNC Asheville averages 74.2 points per game, which exceeds what the Presbyterian defense typically allows (72.8 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The Presbyterian offense puts up 74.6 PPG and faces a UNC Asheville defense allowing 73.1 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and UNC Asheville will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects UNC Asheville to win by approximately 3.1 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from UNC Asheville winning by 16 to losing by 9. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Team Comparison

PRES Presbyterian
Stat
UNCA UNC Asheville
13-14 (9-3)
Record
12-14 (7-6)
Last 10
74.6
PPG
74.2
72.8
Opp PPG
73.1

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
PRES Presbyterian Blue Hose
+180 +5.5 O 137.5
UNCA UNC Asheville Bulldogs
-218 -5.5 U 137.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 19, 8:03 PM
Opening line: -4.5 / O/U 136.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
PRES Presbyterian Blue Hose
+149 +3.1 O 148.8
UNCA UNC Asheville Bulldogs
-149 -3.1 U 148.8
Source: Model Updated: Feb 19, 7:17 PM

Our Picks

Spread L
UNC Asheville (opened at -4.5)
55% Confidence
Total L
Over (opened at 136.5)
58% Confidence

Recent Trends

UNC Asheville has struggled this season at 12-14 (7-6). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Presbyterian at 13-14 (9-3). Traveling to face UNC Asheville presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

UNC Asheville

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Sub-.500 record at 12-14 (7-6) raises concerns
  • Potential for inconsistency in key moments

Presbyterian

Advantages

  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Struggling with a 13-14 (9-3) record this season