Stanford Cardinal vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons

This NCAAB matchup features Stanford Cardinal (16-10 (10-6)) traveling to take on Wake Forest Demon Deacons (13-12 (9-6)) at LJVM Coliseum, Winston-Salem, NC. The Stanford hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Wake Forest by 3.3 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, Wake Forest averages 75.4 points per game, which exceeds what the Stanford defense typically allows (70.8 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The Stanford offense puts up 77.3 PPG and faces a Wake Forest defense allowing 72.2 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Wake Forest will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 1.4-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Wake Forest winning by 14 to losing by 11. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Wake Forest enters at 13-12 (9-6), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. Stanford sits at 16-10 (10-6) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.