SharpBetz
NCAAB

Western Michigan Broncos vs Eastern Michigan Eagles

Saturday, February 14, 2026

Final Score W Michigan 76 - E Michigan 62
Spread: L Total:

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features Western Michigan Broncos (9-16 (7-5)) traveling to take on Eastern Michigan Eagles (9-17 (6-5)) at Gervin GameAbove Center, Ypsilanti, MI. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. E Michigan averages 71.9 points per game, but they face a W Michigan defense that holds opponents to 74.6 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, W Michigan scores 72.2 PPG but faces a E Michigan defense that limits opponents to 74.8 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and E Michigan will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects E Michigan to win by approximately 3.1 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from E Michigan winning by 16 to losing by 9. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Team Comparison

WMU W Michigan
Stat
EMU E Michigan
9-16 (7-5)
Record
9-17 (6-5)
Last 10
72.2
PPG
71.9
74.6
Opp PPG
74.8

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
WMU Western Michigan Broncos
+230 +6.5 O 143.5
EMU Eastern Michigan Eagles
-285 -6.5 U 143.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 19, 8:03 PM
Opening line: -6.5 / O/U 146.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
WMU Western Michigan Broncos
+149 +3.1 O 144.1
EMU Eastern Michigan Eagles
-149 -3.1 U 144.1
Source: Model Updated: Feb 19, 7:17 PM

Our Picks

Spread L
E Michigan (opened at -6.5)
55% Confidence
Total
Pass
Model: 144.1 | Edge below threshold

Recent Trends

E Michigan has struggled this season at 9-17 (6-5). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for W Michigan at 9-16 (7-5). Traveling to face E Michigan presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

E Michigan

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Sub-.500 record at 9-17 (6-5) raises concerns
  • Potential for inconsistency in key moments

W Michigan

Advantages

  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Struggling with a 9-16 (7-5) record this season