IU Indianapolis Jaguars vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons

This NCAAB matchup features IU Indianapolis Jaguars (7-21 (5-7)) traveling to take on Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons (15-12 (11-3)) at Memorial Coliseum (IN), Fort Wayne, IN. The Purdue FW hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the IU Indy by 10.6 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. Purdue FW averages 76.1 points per game, but they face a IU Indy defense that holds opponents to 76.2 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, IU Indy scores 70.0 PPG but faces a Purdue FW defense that limits opponents to 71.7 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Purdue FW will look to leverage their home crowd. The Purdue FW are heavy favorites in this one, with our model projecting a 10.9-point advantage. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Purdue FW winning by 23 to losing by 2. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Purdue FW enters at 15-12 (11-3), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. It's been a difficult season for IU Indy at 7-21 (5-7). Traveling to face Purdue FW presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.