Rider Broncs vs Sacred Heart Pioneers

This NCAAB matchup features Rider Broncs (3-22 (3-8)) traveling to take on Sacred Heart Pioneers (12-16 (7-5)) at William H. Pitt Center, Fairfield, CT. The Sacred Heart hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Rider by 10.8 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. Sacred Heart averages 73.6 points per game, but they face a Rider defense that holds opponents to 78.2 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, Rider scores 67.4 PPG but faces a Sacred Heart defense that limits opponents to 73.6 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Sacred Heart will look to leverage their home crowd. The Sacred Heart are heavy favorites in this one, with our model projecting a 10.9-point advantage. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Sacred Heart winning by 23 to losing by 2. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Sacred Heart has struggled this season at 12-16 (7-5). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Rider at 3-22 (3-8). Traveling to face Sacred Heart presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.