Drexel Dragons vs Stony Brook Seawolves

This NCAAB matchup features Drexel Dragons (13-14 (10-4)) traveling to take on Stony Brook Seawolves (16-11 (11-3)) at Stony Brook Arena, Stony Brook, NY. The Stony Brook hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Drexel by 4.0 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, Stony Brook averages 76.9 points per game, which exceeds what the Drexel defense typically allows (72.8 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The Drexel offense puts up 74.6 PPG and faces a Stony Brook defense allowing 71.1 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Stony Brook will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Stony Brook to win by approximately 6.4 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Stony Brook winning by 19 to losing by 6. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Stony Brook enters at 16-11 (11-3), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. It's been a difficult season for Drexel at 13-14 (10-4). Traveling to face Stony Brook presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.