Nicholls Colonels vs Houston Christian Huskies
Tuesday, February 17, 2026
Final Score Nicholls 68 - Hou Christian 72
Spread: W
Total:
Matchup Analysis
This NCAAB matchup features Nicholls Colonels (11-16 (5-5)) traveling to take on Houston Christian Huskies (10-17 (8-4)) at Sharp Gymnasium, Houston, TX. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way.
Hou Christian averages 72.4 points per game, but they face a Nicholls defense that holds opponents to 73.9 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, Nicholls scores 73.1 PPG but faces a Hou Christian defense that limits opponents to 74.4 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker.
Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Hou Christian will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 2.6-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Hou Christian winning by 15 to losing by 10.
Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.
Team Comparison
NICH Nicholls
Stat
HCU Hou Christian
11-16 (5-5)
Record
10-17 (8-4)
Last 10
73.1
PPG
72.4
73.9
Opp PPG
74.4
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| NICH Nicholls Colonels | +102 ↑ | +1.5 | O 136.5 |
| HCU Houston Christian Huskies | -122 ↓ | -1.5 | U 136.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 19, 7:40 PM
Opening line: -1.5 / O/U 142.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| NICH Nicholls Colonels | +140 | +2.6 | O 145.5 |
| HCU Houston Christian Huskies | -140 | -2.6 | U 145.5 |
Source: Model Updated: Feb 19, 7:09 PM
Our Picks
Spread
W
Hou Christian (opened at -1.5)
55% Confidence
Total
Pass
Model: 145.5 | Edge below threshold
Recent Trends
Hou Christian has struggled this season at 10-17 (8-4). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset.
It's been a difficult season for Nicholls at 11-16 (5-5). Traveling to face Hou Christian presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
Hou Christian
Advantages
- Home court advantage and crowd support
- Familiarity with home venue and routines
Disadvantages
- Sub-.500 record at 10-17 (8-4) raises concerns
- Potential for inconsistency in key moments
Nicholls
Advantages
- Nothing to lose as the visiting team
- Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Struggling with a 11-16 (5-5) record this season